In this article each week, I present 1) my personal spread projections for each game, 2) the bets against the spread (ATS) that I like and 3) the five games that — as of writing — I’m most likely to enter into the $1M DraftKings picks contest. On Sunday, I’ll tweet out my final five for the contest and embed that tweet here as an update.
I track all of my picks collectively in the BettingPros App and BettingPros Discord.
Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>
Week 14 Record
Picks in BettingPros Tracker, Discord & Articles: 4-10 (-7.0 units)
Picks in $1M DraftKings picks pool: 3-2
I followed up a career-best 10-3 performance in Week 13 with a career-worst 4-10 performance last week. The gambling gods giveth, and they taketh. Pain.
Year-to-Date Record
Picks in BettingPros Tracker, Discord & Articles: 98-83-2 (+6.9 units)
Picks in $1M DraftKings picks pool: 37-28
All odds are from our BettingPros matchups page, where you can see the percentage distributions of spread, over/under and moneyline bets tracked in the BettingPros App.
Freedman’s NFL Week 15 Projections Against the Spread
Here are my personal spread projections for each Week 15 game, ordered according to when each game kicks off. The consensus lines are pulled from our BettingPros odds page on Wednesday and are presented — along with my projected lines and edges — from the perspective of the home team.
Note: I update my personal projections as well as our premium BettingPros spread projections throughout the week. These projections and odds are as of Wed., Dec. 14, at 11:30 pm ET.
Home Team
Road Team
Consensus Line
Freedman Line
Projected Edge
SEA
SF
3.5
2.5
-1
MIN
IND
-4
-3.5
0.5
CLE
BAL
-3
-4
-1
BUF
MIA
-7
-7.5
-0.5
NO
ATL
-4
-4.75
-0.75
CAR
PIT
-3
-0.5
2.5
HOU
KC
14
14.75
0.75
NYJ
DET
-1
0
1
JAX
DAL
4
6
2
CHI
PHI
9
7.75
-1.25
DEN
ARI
-3
-2.5
0.5
LV
NE
1
-1.25
-2.25
TB
CIN
3.5
3.75
0.25
LAC
TEN
-3
-2.25
0.75
WAS
NYG
-4.5
-3
1.5
GB
LAR
-7
-9
-2
Based on my current spread projections as well as other factors (matchup specifics, injuries, etc.), I’m willing to bet on four teams at their consensus lines.
Seahawks +3.5 vs. 49ers
Browns -3 vs. Ravens
Steelers +3 at Panthers
Packers -7 vs. Rams
Freedman’s NFL Week 15 ATS Bet Breakdowns
Here are stats and notes for the four games with spread bets I like right now.
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
Check out our 49ers at Seahawks matchup page.
Kickoff: Thursday, Dec. 15, 2022, 8:15 pm ET
Location: Lumen Field
TV: PRIME
49ers at Seahawks: Consensus Spread & Betting Percentages
Percentage data from Action Network and as of Dec. 14.
Spread: Seahawks +3.5
Betting Percentages: Seahawks – 38% bets, 64% money
49ers at Seahawks: 2022 ATS Records
Data from Action Network and goes back to 2003. Abbreviations: Against the spread (ATS), return on investment (ROI).
49ers ATS: 8-5 (17.9% ROI)
Seahawks ATS: 6-7 (-12.2% ROI)
San Francisco 49ers: Notable Trend
HC Kyle Shanahan: 21-28-1 ATS (9.7% ROI for faders) as favorite
Seattle Seahawks: Notable Trends
QB Geno Smith: 18-11-2 ATS (18.6% ROI) as underdog
QB Geno Smith: 7-3 ATS (35.1% ROI) as underdog with Seahawks
QB Geno Smith: 14-10 ATS (13.6% ROI) at home
QB Geno Smith: 5-3 ATS (20.5% ROI) at home with Seahawks
QB Geno Smith: 8-3 ATS (42.3% ROI) as home underdog
QB Geno Smith: 3-0 ATS (95.4% ROI) as home underdog with Seahawks
49ers at Seahawks: Team Statistics
Advanced data from RBs Don’t Matter and Football Outsiders. Basic stats from Pro Football Reference. Regular season only. Abbreviations: Expected Points Added (EPA), Success Rate (SR), Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA).
49ers Offense vs. Seahawks Defense
Metric
Offense
Rank
Defense
Rank
Offense Edge
EPA per Play
-0.104
31
0.054
23
-8
Total SR
40.3%
32
42.9%
9
-23
Total DVOA
8.1%
10
4.7%
21
11
Dropback EPA
-0.09
29
0.107
26
-3
Dropback SR
42.7%
29
45.7%
14
-15
Pass DVOA
-6.4%
19
2.5%
26
7
Adj. Sack Rate
6.0%
10
7.7%
11
1
Rush EPA
-0.133
30
-0.020
23
-7
Rush SR
35.2%
31
38.9%
8
-23
Rush DVOA
11.3%
6
2.8%
16
10
Adj. Line Yards
4.65
9
4.71
25
16
Yards per Play
5.8
8
5.6
18
10
Points per Game
24.4
8
25.7
30
22
Seahawks Offense vs. 49ers Defense
Metric
Offense
Rank
Defense
Rank
Offense Edge
EPA per Play
0.06
6
-0.094
2
-4
Total SR
43.5%
21
40.0%
1
-20
Total DVOA
8.2%
9
-17.0%
2
-7
Dropback EPA
0.098
9
-0.073
5
-4
Dropback SR
45.7%
20
43.3%
7
-13
Pass DVOA
-10.9%
23
-24.5%
2
-21
Adj. Sack Rate
9.1%
28
7.5%
12
-16
Rush EPA
0.010
6
-0.135
3
-3
Rush SR
40.5%
20
33.6%
2
-18
Rush DVOA
9.3%
7
-19.5%
2
-5
Adj. Line Yards
3.95
32
3.66
2
-30
Yards per Play
6
4
4.8
1
-3
Points per Game
26.3
6
15.2
1
-5
49ers at Seahawks: Quarterback Statistics
Data from RBs Don’t Matter, Pro Football Reference, ESPN and NFElo. Abbreviations: Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE), Adjusted Yards per Attempt (AY/A), Adjusted Total Quarterback Rating (QBR), Quarterback Elo Value (QB Elo). 2022 data: Min. 240 plays for EPA + CPOE. Min. 14 pass attempts per scheduled game for AY/A. Min. 20 action plays per game for QBR.
2022: Brock Purdy
Metric
Output
Rank
ATS Value vs. Avg.
-4.6
50
Career: Brock Purdy
2022: Geno Smith
Metric
Output
Rank
EPA + CPOE
0.146
4
AY/A
8.3
5
QBR
64.5
5
ATS Value vs. Avg.
1.6
10
Career: Geno Smith
AY/A: 6.6
QB Elo per Game: -32.4
Key Takeaway: Brock Purdy Is Still a Third-String Seventh-Round Rookie
Last week, Purdy looked great in his first NFL start, completing 76.2% of his passes for a 10.7 AY/A. Sure, he passed for just 185 yards on 21 attempts, but that’s all the 49ers needed him to do in a dominant 35-7 victory over the Buccaneers.
As a result, from last week to this week, I’ve bumped up the 49ers +2.5 points in my power ratings. In the Massey-Peabody Power Rankings, they’ve received a similar boost from +0.81 to +2.72.
Even so, they are still just +1.82 points better than the Seahawks on a neutral field in Massey-Peabody.
But here’s the thing: 49ers HC Mike Shanahan has historically underperformed as a favorite, this game is being played in the hostile environment of Lumen Field, Seahawks QB Geno Smith has done well in the past as an underdog (especially at home) — and Purdy (oblique, rib) is still just a third-string seventh-round rookie making his second NFL start while limited with an injury on a short week against a divisional opponent who is pushing to make the playoffs and coming off an embarrassing home loss.
Despite what we saw out of Purdy last week, it’s worth remembering that in his first game with a pass attempt (Week 7 vs. Chiefs) he had a 2.3 AY/A in mop-up duty, and in his first game with extended action (Week 13 vs. Dolphins) he had a 5.5 AY/A.
We have seen other quarterbacks with comparable talent levels perform acceptably in the Shanahan offense with the 49ers.
C.J. Beathard (2017-20): 58.6% completion rate | 6.5 AY/A
Nick Mullens (2018-20): 64.5% completion rate | 7.0 AY/A
But these guys are not in the same caliber of QB Jimmy Garoppolo (67.6% completion rate, 8.2 AY/A with Shanahan) — and neither is Purdy.
Given the circumstances, -3.5 points is just too much for a third-string seventh-round rookie quarterback to get on the road — even with Shanahan, and even if he’s better than the typical third-string late-round rookie quarterback.
Best Line: Seahawks +3.5 (-115, PointsBet)
First Recommended: Seahawks +1.5 (-110)
Personal Projection: Seahawks +2.5
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
Check out our Ravens at Browns matchup page.
Kickoff: Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022, 4:30 pm ET
Location: FirstEnergy Stadium
TV: NFL
Ravens at Browns: Consensus Spread & Betting Percentages
Percentage data from Action Network and as of Dec. 14.
Spread: Browns -3
Betting Percentages: Browns – 52% bets, 64% money
Ravens at Browns: 2022 ATS Records
Data from Action Network and goes back to 2003. Abbreviations: Against the spread (ATS), return on investment (ROI).
Ravens ATS: 6-7 (-11.9% ROI)
Browns ATS: 6-6-1 (-4.4% ROI)
Ravens at Browns: Team Statistics
Advanced data from RBs Don’t Matter and Football Outsiders. Basic stats from Pro Football Reference. Regular season only. Abbreviations: Expected Points Added (EPA), Success Rate (SR), Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA).
Ravens Offense vs. Browns Defense
Metric
Offense
Rank
Defense
Rank
Offense Edge
EPA per Play
0.011
19
0.067
28
9
Total SR
44.6%
13
45.5%
23
10
Total DVOA
11.3%
6
9.0%
27
21
Dropback EPA
0.075
15
0.056
14
-1
Dropback SR
47.7%
8
46.1%
15
7
Pass DVOA
10.8%
2
9.5%
30
28
Adj. Sack Rate
7.9%
21
6.8%
17
-4
Rush EPA
-0.130
26
0.083
32
6
Rush SR
37.6%
27
44.7%
27
0
Rush DVOA
9.2%
8
7.2%
27
19
Adj. Line Yards
4.23
21
4.93
30
9
Yards per Play
5.5
14
5.7
20
6
Points per Game
23.2
12
24.8
27
15
Browns Offense vs. Ravens Defense
Metric
Offense
Rank
Defense
Rank
Offense Edge
EPA per Play
0.063
5
0.009
14
9
Total SR
45.6%
7
44.2%
15
8
Total DVOA
9.3%
8
-6.4%
8
0
Dropback EPA
0.048
19
0.071
16
-3
Dropback SR
46.1%
15
47.1%
22
7
Pass DVOA
4.2%
8
-15.4%
7
-1
Adj. Sack Rate
6.2%
12
8.4%
6
-6
Rush EPA
0.085
1
-0.127
5
4
Rush SR
44.9%
3
38.0%
5
2
Rush DVOA
5.4%
14
-5.8%
9
-5
Adj. Line Yards
4.34
16
4.08
8
-8
Yards per Play
5.5
14
5.5
16
2
Points per Game
23.1
13
19.2
8
-5
Ravens at Browns: Quarterback Statistics
Data from RBs Don’t Matter, Pro Football Reference, ESPN and NFElo. Abbreviations: Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE), Adjusted Yards per Attempt (AY/A), Adjusted Total Quarterback Rating (QBR), Quarterback Elo Value (QB Elo). 2022 data: Min. 240 plays for EPA + CPOE. Min. 14 pass attempts per scheduled game for AY/A. Min. 20 action plays per game for QBR.
2022: Tyler Huntley
Metric
Output
Rank
ATS Value vs. Avg.
-3.9
47
Career: Tyler Huntley
AY/A: 5.1
QB Elo per Game: -17.0
2022: Deshaun Watson
Metric
Output
Rank
ATS Value vs. Avg.
2.3
6
Career: Deshaun Watson
AY/A: 8.5
QB Elo per Game: 58.3
Key Takeaway: Tyler Huntley Is Not Lamar Jackson
I assume that QB Tyler Huntley (concussion) will be able to start this Saturday. He did practice fully on Wednesday, which is a strongly positive sign. But he’s still in the league’s protocol — and part of the protocol (Phase Five) calls for guys to return to practice, which may be a full session that involves contact.
But that doesn’t mean he will be able to practice fully without once again experiencing concussion-like symptoms. And a full practice doesn’t mean that he automatically exits the protocol. At least a couple times this year we’ve seen a player practice fully and then still fail to clear the protocol within a week.
It’s likelier than not that Huntley starts this game, but with one less day than usual to recover he’s not guaranteed to play. There’s a small chance third-string rookie QB Anthony Brown draws the start.
And even if Huntley plays, he’s a significant downgrade from starter Lamar Jackson. At NFElo, Jackson is worth +1.1 points to the spread this year, whereas Huntley is worth -3.9 points.
I more conservatively have the dropoff from Jackson to Huntley at -4.5 points (and I’m thinking about moving it to -4) — but either way the difference is large.
Although they have similar playing styles, Jackson is an MVP-caliber quarterback with a 7.6 AY/A and 7.4% sack rate, whereas Huntley is a limited backup with a 5.1 AY/A and 8.1% sack rate.
Browns QB Deshaun Watson (5.3 AY/A) has underwhelmed in his return to action. But without Jackson, I have the Ravens as 2.5 points worst then the Browns on a neutral field (Massey-Peabody has it at 2.6) — and this game is being played in Cleveland.
The downgrade from Jackson to Huntley is the difference in this game.
Best Line: Browns -2.5 (-110, PointsBet)
First Recommended: Browns -2.5 (-115)
Personal Projection: Browns -4
Pittsburgh Steelers at Carolina Panthers
Check out our Steelers at Panthers matchup page.
Kickoff: Sunday, Dec. 18, 2022, 1 pm ET
Location: Bank of America Stadium
TV: CBS
Steelers at Panthers: Consensus Spread & Betting Percentages
Percentage data from Action Network and as of Dec. 14.
Spread: Steelers +3
Betting Percentages: Steelers – 43% bets, 65% money
Steelers at Panthers: 2022 ATS Records
Data from Action Network and goes back to 2003. Abbreviations: Against the spread (ATS), return on investment (ROI).
Steelers ATS: 6-6-1 (-3.3% ROI)
Panthers ATS: 7-6 (3.5% ROI)
Pittsburgh Steelers: Notable Trends
HC Mike Tomlin: 49-27-3 ATS (25.3% ROI) as underdog
QB Mitchell Trubisky: 15-11-2 ATS (11.2% ROI) as underdog
Carolina Panthers: Notable Trends
QB Sam Darnold: 20-30-1 ATS (17.7% ROI for faders) for career
QB Sam Darnold: 4-8 ATS (30.3 % ROI for faders) as favorite
Steelers at Panthers: Team Statistics
Advanced data from RBs Don’t Matter and Football Outsiders. Basic stats from Pro Football Reference. Regular season only. Abbreviations: Expected Points Added (EPA), Success Rate (SR), Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA).
Steelers Offense vs. Panthers Defense
Metric
Offense
Rank
Defense
Rank
Offense Edge
EPA per Play
0.038
10
-0.011
11
1
Total SR
44.2%
19
44.1%
13
-6
Total DVOA
-3.7%
20
2.5%
19
-1
Dropback EPA
0.085
11
0.027
11
0
Dropback SR
46.3%
13
45.0%
11
-2
Pass DVOA
-4.3%
16
-3.1%
19
3
Adj. Sack Rate
6.9%
16
5.8%
25
9
Rush EPA
-0.036
12
-0.065
15
3
Rush SR
41.0%
18
42.9%
23
5
Rush DVOA
-5.6%
21
4.4%
20
-1
Adj. Line Yards
4.47
12
4.26
15
3
Yards per Play
4.9
27
5.3
11
-16
Points per Game
17.5
27
22.3
13
-14
Panthers Offense vs. Steelers Defense
Metric
Offense
Rank
Defense
Rank
Offense Edge
EPA per Play
-0.013
21
0.038
21
0
Total SR
43.8%
20
44.1%
13
-7
Total DVOA
-16.1%
29
-1.8%
13
-16
Dropback EPA
0.028
22
0.09
22
0
Dropback SR
45.1%
21
46.6%
18
-3
Pass DVOA
-1.9%
13
-9.8%
11
-2
Adj. Sack Rate
7.9%
19
5.8%
24
5
Rush EPA
-0.076
19
-0.050
20
1
Rush SR
41.8%
11
40.0%
12
1
Rush DVOA
-13.4%
28
3.2%
18
-10
Adj. Line Yards
4.75
5
4.42
19
14
Yards per Play
5.1
23
5.7
20
-3
Points per Game
20
24
22.5
14
-10
Steelers at Panthers: Quarterback Statistics
Data from RBs Don’t Matter, Pro Football Reference, ESPN and NFElo. Abbreviations: Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE), Adjusted Yards per Attempt (AY/A), Adjusted Total Quarterback Rating (QBR), Quarterback Elo Value (QB Elo). 2022 data: Min. 240 plays for EPA + CPOE. Min. 14 pass attempts per scheduled game for AY/A. Min. 20 action plays per game for QBR.
2022: Mitchell Trubisky
Metric
Output
Rank
ATS Value vs. Avg.
-0.8
27
Career: Mitchell Trubisky
AY/A: 6.4
QB Elo per Game: -20.8
2022: Sam Darnold
Metric
Output
Rank
ATS Value vs. Avg.
-1.7
36
Career: Sam Darnold
AY/A: 5.8
QB Elo per Game: -75.9
Key Takeaway: Buy Low on the Steelers, Sell High on the Panthers
The Panthers are coming off a great 30-24 road underdog win against the Seahawks — but 2021 starter-turned-2022 backup-turned-starter Sam Darnold had a 5.8 AY/A in that game on just 24 pass attempts, so it’s not as if he’s the reason they won.
And his career mark is also 5.8 AY/A. He’s still the same-ol’ Sam.
Darnold should almost never be a favorite, and the Panthers are now favorites. As such, they’re 0-3 ATS this year.
Yeah, they’re 6-2 ATS under interim HC Steve Wilks, but after last week I believe the market has now caught up to the Panthers, who have never been favored under Wilks. In his only two games as a favorite (with the 2018 Cardinals), Wilks was 0-2 ATS and failed to cover the spread by a margin of -13.25 points.
This is a prime spot to sell high on the Panthers — and also to buy low on the Steelers, who last week suffered a tough 16-14 loss as home favorites against the Ravens.
Rookie QB Kenny Pickett (concussion) seems likely to miss this week for the Steelers, but backup QB Mitchell Trubisky is a veteran, and he’s better than Darnold despite his faults.
The Steelers have the edge at quarterback and coach, and the Panthers have a mediocre home-field advantage.
If you give me +3 with the Steelers against a bad team, I’ll take it.
Best Line: Steelers +3 (-110, Caesars)
First Recommended: Steelers +3 (-110)
Personal Projection: Steelers +0.5
Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers
Check out our Rams at Packers matchup page.
Kickoff: Monday, Dec. 19, 2022, 8:15 pm ET
Location: Lambeau Field
TV: ESPN
Rams at Packers: Consensus Spread & Betting Percentages
Percentage data from Action Network and as of Dec. 14.
Spread: Packers -7
Betting Percentages: Rams – 66% bets, 74% money
Rams at Packers: 2022 ATS Records
Data from Action Network and goes back to 2003. Abbreviations: Against the spread (ATS), return on investment (ROI).
Rams ATS: 5-7-1 (-18.0% ROI)
Packers ATS: 5-8 (-25.9% ROI)
Los Angeles Rams: Notable Trends
HC Sean McVay: 0-5 ATS (91.7% ROI for faders) in temperature of no more than 40 degrees, including postseason
QB Baker Mayfield: 18-33-1 ATS (24.5% ROI for faders) in post-rookie seasons
Green Bay Packers: Notable Trends
QB Aaron Rodgers: 98-70-3 ATS (13.9% ROI) as favorite
QB Aaron Rodgers: 67-37-3 ATS (24.8% ROI) at home
QB Aaron Rodgers: 9-3-1 ATS (41.8% ROI) off bye
QB Aaron Rodgers: 4-0-1 ATS (75.4% ROI) as home favorite off bye
Rams at Packers: Team Statistics
Advanced data from RBs Don’t Matter and Football Outsiders. Basic stats from Pro Football Reference. Regular season only. Abbreviations: Expected Points Added (EPA), Success Rate (SR), Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA).
Rams Offense vs. Packers Defense
Metric
Offense
Rank
Defense
Rank
Offense Edge
EPA per Play
0.026
17
0.058
26
9
Total SR
44.3%
18
46.2%
27
9
Total DVOA
-12.2%
26
5.0%
23
-3
Dropback EPA
0.126
5
0.044
13
8
Dropback SR
49.3%
6
45.0%
11
5
Pass DVOA
-13.2%
26
12.0%
32
6
Adj. Sack Rate
9.8%
30
6.4%
22
-8
Rush EPA
-0.130
26
0.073
31
5
Rush SR
36.7%
30
47.6%
32
2
Rush DVOA
-15.8%
30
5.4%
22
-8
Adj. Line Yards
4.03
28
5.20
32
4
Yards per Play
4.7
32
5.8
26
-6
Points per Game
16.8
29
23.2
21
-8
Packers Offense vs. Rams Defense
Metric
Offense
Rank
Defense
Rank
Offense Edge
EPA per Play
0.058
7
0.03
18
11
Total SR
46.2%
6
44.4%
17
11
Total DVOA
7.5%
11
-0.9%
14
3
Dropback EPA
0.044
20
0.142
29
9
Dropback SR
45.0%
22
50.1%
28
6
Pass DVOA
7.6%
7
-17.5%
5
-2
Adj. Sack Rate
5.2%
5
7.2%
15
10
Rush EPA
0.073
2
-0.156
1
-1
Rush SR
47.6%
1
35.0%
3
2
Rush DVOA
6.9%
11
1.7%
15
4
Adj. Line Yards
4.83
2
4.26
14
12
Yards per Play
5.6
11
5.5
16
5
Points per Game
20.2
23
22.8
16
-7
Rams at Packers: Quarterback Statistics
Data from RBs Don’t Matter, Pro Football Reference, ESPN and NFElo. Abbreviations: Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE), Adjusted Yards per Attempt (AY/A), Adjusted Total Quarterback Rating (QBR), Quarterback Elo Value (QB Elo). 2022 data: Min. 240 plays for EPA + CPOE. Min. 14 pass attempts per scheduled game for AY/A. Min. 20 action plays per game for QBR.
2022: Baker Mayfield
Metric
Output
Rank
EPA + CPOE
-0.024
33
AY/A
5.9
31
QBR
23.2
31
ATS Value vs. Avg.
-3.7
46
Career: Baker Mayfield
AY/A: 6.9
QB Elo per Game: -45.7
2022: Aaron Rodgers
Metric
Output
Rank
EPA + CPOE
0.059
22
AY/A
6.9
17
QBR
41.4
26
ATS Value vs. Avg.
1.0
16
Career: Aaron Rodgers
AY/A: 8.4
QB Elo per Game: 78.4
Key Takeaway: Aaron Rodgers Is a Home Favorite Off a Bye
I jumped on this game to early (-9 in the lookahead market), but even after adjusting the Rams up +1.25 points after their surprising come-from-behind 17-16 win over the Raiders last week I still have this game projected at Packers -9.
So given that this line is -6.5 and -7 in the market, I still see value on the Packers.
The analysis here is fairly straightforward: The Packers aren’t nearly as bad as the Rams.
Say whatever you want about Rodgers, but he’s No. 2 in the league with nine multi-touchdown passing games.
And he has a good matchup: The Rams are No. 28 in defensive dropback EPA (0.126).
And Rodgers is a favorite, at home and coming off the bye: He historically has crushed in each of those situations — and in the total eclipse spot where all three of those edges have aligned in the regular season he’s an undefeated 4-0-1 ATS.
In a cold weather game (forecast of five degrees Fahrenheit) against a warm weather dome team, I’m fine with laying -7 on Rodgers at home with eight extra days to rest and prepare.
Best Line: Packers -6.5 (-115, FanDuel)
First Recommended: Packers -9 (-110), ouch
Personal Projection: Packers -9
Freedman’s 5 ATS Picks for Season-Long Contests
Here are the five spread bets that (right now) I’m leaning toward in the DraftKings picks contest.
Note: The lines for this contest can vary from those highlighted above.
Seahawks +3.5 vs. 49ers
Chargers -2.5 vs. Titans
Broncos -2.5 vs. Cardinals
Raiders +0.5 vs. Patriots
Packers -6.5 vs. Rams
But I expect these picks to change by Sunday based on line movement.
I’ll provide a tweet with my updated contest picks on Sunday before kickoff, and then I’ll post that tweet here.
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